Liga I · Regular Season - 14
Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Otelul, Galati
Oţelul host Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oţelul 40%, draw 29%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oţelul €420K, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe €298K.
- All 11 of Oţelul's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oţelul goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Oţelul 1538 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1511
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oţelul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1510
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1609
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oţelul
13th in Liga I · 11 pts from 12
- 16 OctDCsikszereda Liga I1540
- 10 OctLFCSB Liga I1556
- 21 SepLCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1566
- 14 SepLUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1525
- 6 SepLRapid Liga I1553
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
12th in Liga I · 14 pts from 12
- 17 OctDPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1512
- 9 OctLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1526
- 18 SepLUta Arad Liga I1502
- 12 SepWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1483
- 5 SepLFC Botosani Liga I1496
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 11 /12 | 34.4 | 0% | 1% | 25% | 14th |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 14 /12 | 35.5 | 0% | 1% | 18% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oţelul: balanced profile (how Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte plays) · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: balanced profile (how Ovidiu Nicuşor Burcă plays)