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La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Osasuna crestOsasunaTeam 1876
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Racing Santander crestRacing SantanderTeam 1925

Match story

Osasuna · draw · Racing Santander

Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 31%

Live chances: Osasuna 100%, draw 0%, Racing Santander 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Osasuna 42%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%2' · 0–0 · Osasuna 42%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%3' · 0–0 · Osasuna 42%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%4' · 1–0 · Osasuna 66%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 13%5' · 0–0 · Osasuna 41%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%6' · 0–0 · Osasuna 41%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%8' · 0–0 · Osasuna 41%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 31%9' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 13%10' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 13%11' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 13%13' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 13%14' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 13%15' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 13%16' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%17' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%19' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%21' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%22' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%24' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%25' · 1–0 · Osasuna 67%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%26' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 12%27' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%28' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%29' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%31' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%32' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%34' · 2–0 · Osasuna 90%, draw 7%, Racing Santander 2%34' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%35' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 11%36' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%37' · 1–0 · Osasuna 68%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%39' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%40' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%41' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%42' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 10%43' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%44' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%45' · 1–0 · Osasuna 69%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%45+1' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%45+2' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%45+3' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%45+4' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%HT · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%46' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%47' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 9%48' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 8%49' · 1–0 · Osasuna 70%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 8%50' · 1–0 · Osasuna 71%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 8%51' · 1–0 · Osasuna 71%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 8%52' · 1–0 · Osasuna 71%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 8%53' · 1–0 · Osasuna 71%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 7%54' · 1–0 · Osasuna 72%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 7%55' · 1–0 · Osasuna 72%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 7%56' · 1–0 · Osasuna 72%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 7%57' · 1–0 · Osasuna 72%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 7%58' · 1–0 · Osasuna 73%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 6%59' · 1–0 · Osasuna 73%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 6%60' · 1–0 · Osasuna 73%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 6%61' · 1–0 · Osasuna 74%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 6%62' · 1–0 · Osasuna 74%, draw 21%, Racing Santander 6%63' · 1–0 · Osasuna 74%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 5%64' · 1–0 · Osasuna 74%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 5%65' · 1–0 · Osasuna 75%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 5%66' · 1–0 · Osasuna 75%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 5%67' · 1–0 · Osasuna 76%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 5%68' · 1–0 · Osasuna 76%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 4%69' · 1–0 · Osasuna 76%, draw 19%, Racing Santander 4%70' · 1–0 · Osasuna 77%, draw 19%, Racing Santander 4%71' · 1–0 · Osasuna 77%, draw 19%, Racing Santander 4%72' · 1–0 · Osasuna 78%, draw 19%, Racing Santander 4%73' · 1–0 · Osasuna 78%, draw 18%, Racing Santander 4%74' · 1–0 · Osasuna 79%, draw 18%, Racing Santander 3%75' · 1–0 · Osasuna 79%, draw 18%, Racing Santander 3%76' · 1–0 · Osasuna 80%, draw 17%, Racing Santander 3%77' · 1–0 · Osasuna 80%, draw 17%, Racing Santander 3%78' · 1–0 · Osasuna 81%, draw 17%, Racing Santander 3%79' · 1–0 · Osasuna 81%, draw 16%, Racing Santander 2%80' · 1–0 · Osasuna 82%, draw 16%, Racing Santander 2%81' · 1–0 · Osasuna 83%, draw 15%, Racing Santander 2%82' · 1–0 · Osasuna 84%, draw 15%, Racing Santander 2%83' · 1–0 · Osasuna 84%, draw 14%, Racing Santander 2%84' · 1–0 · Osasuna 85%, draw 14%, Racing Santander 1%85' · 1–0 · Osasuna 86%, draw 13%, Racing Santander 1%86' · 1–0 · Osasuna 87%, draw 12%, Racing Santander 1%87' · 1–0 · Osasuna 88%, draw 12%, Racing Santander 1%88' · 1–0 · Osasuna 89%, draw 11%, Racing Santander 1%89' · 2–0 · Osasuna 99%, draw 1%, Racing Santander 0%90' · 2–0 · Osasuna 100%, draw 0%, Racing Santander 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Osasuna 100%, draw 0%, Racing Santander 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Osasuna 100%, draw 0%, Racing Santander 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Osasuna 100%, draw 0%, Racing Santander 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Osasuna 42% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Racing Santander:Alvaro Mantilla 1925 0
  2. 9'Osasuna:Ante Budimir 1952 +48 (pen.)
  3. 28'Osasuna:Valentin Rosier 1985 +11
  4. 45'Racing Santander:Andrés Martín 1970 −2 for André Almeida 2029 −4
  5. 51'Racing Santander:Jorge Salinas Viadero 1942 0
  6. 60'Osasuna:Ante Budimir 1952 +48
  7. 67'Osasuna:Asier Osambela 1754 +22 for Moi Gómez 1720 +22
  8. 67'Osasuna:Lucas Torró 1934 +1 for Iker Muñoz Cameros 1989 +12
  9. 69'Racing Santander:Pablo García 1750 0 for Sergio Canales 1818 −8
  10. 76'Osasuna:Raul Moro 1889 −4* for Jonathan Dubasin 1828 +23
  11. 76'Osasuna:Íñigo Arguibide 1728 +5 for Valentin Rosier 1985 +11
  12. 80'Racing Santander:Iván Martín 2033 −9
  13. 83'Racing Santander:Aarón Martin Caricol 2005 −2 for Jorge Salinas Viadero 1942 0
  14. 83'Racing Santander:Asier Villalibre 1832 −1 for Iván Martín 2033 −9
  15. 88'Osasuna:Asier Osambela 1754 +22
  16. 90+1'Osasuna:Raul García 1888 0 for Rubén García 1978 +44
  17. 90+2'Racing Santander:Giorgi Guliashvili 1828 −8* for Yassir Zabiri 1776 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GAitor Fernández1697+35
DV. Rosier1985+11
DF. Boyomo2063+24*
DCatena2022+10
DAbel Bretones2005+15
MMoncayola2003+14
MIker Muñoz1989+12
MMoi Gómez1720+22
FRubén García1978+44
FA. Budimir1952+48
FJonathan Dubasin1828+23
CArrasate2022+18*
GJulen Agirrezabala2088−39
DÁlvaro Mantilla19250
DPablo Ramón19350
DJ. Belocian2016−7
DJorge Salinas19420
MM. Prati1980−4
MAndré Almeida2029−4
MSergio Canales1818−8
MIván Martín2033−9
MIñigo Vicente1985−6
FM. Zabiri17760
CJosé Alberto López19170
Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 31%(Osasuna · draw · Racing Santander)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Osasuna €3.4M, Racing Santander €3.7M.
  • Home advantage made Osasuna the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
  • Style contrast in attacking (La Liga): Osasuna ranked #17 of 20, Racing Santander #4.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Osasuna

16th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLReal Betis 1879
  • 19 SepDRayo Vallecano 1865
  • 16 SepLAtletico Madrid 1836
  • 12 SepLEspanyol 1906
  • 6 SepLAlaves 1963

Racing Santander

15th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8

  • 11 OctDValencia 1965
  • 19 SepLCelta Vigo 1931
  • 16 SepLBarcelona 1891
  • 12 SepWAlaves 1916
  • 5 SepLRayo Vallecano 1919

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Osasuna8 /836.50%0%44%19th
Racing Santander8 /838.60%0%30%19th
Osasuna
Racing Santander

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez

Osasuna · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1697

Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente

Racing Santander · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1991

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort

Coach DNA: balanced profile

José Alberto López Menéndez

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Osasuna: direct (how Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort plays) · Racing Santander: balanced profile (how José Alberto López Menéndez plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.