La Liga · Regular Season - 12
Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Osasuna host Athletic Club on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Osasuna 27%, draw 28%, Athletic Club 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Osasuna €3.0M, Athletic Club €8.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Osasuna goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Osasuna 1910 · Athletic Club 2148
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Osasuna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2443
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Osasuna
10th in La Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctWRacing Santander La Liga1918
- 11 OctLReal Betis La Liga1879
- 19 SepDRayo Vallecano La Liga1865
- 16 SepLAtletico Madrid La Liga1836
- 12 SepLEspanyol La Liga1906
Athletic Club
13th in La Liga · 9 pts from 8
- 21 OctLLevante La Liga2070
- 17 OctDValencia La Liga2114
- 19 SepDAlaves La Liga2183
- 12 SepDElche La Liga2226
- 5 SepWAtletico Madrid La Liga2186
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 11 /9 | 38.7 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 18th |
| Athletic Club | 9 /8 | 53.0 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Osasuna: direct (how Arrasate plays) · Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Edin Terzić plays)