Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 9
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg
Orlando Pirates host Kaizer Chiefs on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier Soccer League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orlando Pirates 57%, draw 24%, Kaizer Chiefs 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orlando Pirates €667K, Kaizer Chiefs €384K.
- Orlando Pirates' expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
- Orlando Pirates have won their last 5 matches.
- Kaizer Chiefs are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orlando Pirates goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Orlando Pirates 1605 · Kaizer Chiefs 1413
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orlando Pirates · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1803
Kaizer Chiefs · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1516
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orlando Pirates
2nd in Premier Soccer League · 22 pts from 8
- 13 OctWTS Galaxy South Africa PSL1542
- 20 SepWMarumo Gallants South Africa PSL1540
- 17 SepWDurban City South Africa PSL1537
- 1 SepWKruger United South Africa PSL1505
- 25 AugWSekhukhune United South Africa PSL1504
Kaizer Chiefs
5th in Premier Soccer League · 14 pts from 8
- 13 OctDStellenbosch South Africa PSL1440
- 20 SepDGolden Arrows South Africa PSL1359
- 12 SepDPolokwane City South Africa PSL1433
- 6 SepWSiwelele South Africa PSL1425
- 26 AugDRichards Bay South Africa PSL1432
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 22 /8 | 66.3 | 30% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 14 /8 | 48.5 | 0% | 35% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orlando Pirates: shot-heavy · creative (how Abdeslam Ouaddou plays) · Kaizer Chiefs: creative (how Fernando Da Cruz plays)