Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
Orlando City SC vs New York City FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Exploria Stadium, Orlando
Orlando City SC host New York City FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orlando City SC 49%, draw 27%, New York City FC 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orlando City SC €2.2M, New York City FC €2.3M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orlando City SC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Orlando City SC 1969 · New York City FC 1917
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orlando City SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2143
New York City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.5 (Elite) · Elo 1920
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orlando City SC
7th in MLS · 41 pts from 30
- 17 OctWDC United MLS1940
- 14 OctDToronto FC MLS1925
- 10 OctWColumbus Crew MLS1943
- 26 SepLPhiladelphia Union MLS1927
- 19 SepLNew England Revolution MLS1964
New York City FC
11th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 17 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS1924
- 14 OctLInter Miami MLS1939
- 10 OctLChicago Fire MLS1964
- 26 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS1918
- 18 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1953
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 41 /30 | 46.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14th |
| New York City FC | 34 /30 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orlando City SC: balanced profile (how Martín Perelman plays) · New York City FC: balanced profile (how Pascal Jansen plays)