Major League Soccer · Round of 32
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Orlando City SC host FC Cincinnati on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orlando City SC 46%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orlando City SC €2.5M, FC Cincinnati €2.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orlando City SC goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–29%
- 2–18%
- 1–26%
- 3–16%
- 2–05%
- Other scores55%
Team Elo: Orlando City SC 1971 · FC Cincinnati 1960
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orlando City SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2097
FC Cincinnati · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2010
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orlando City SC
8th in MLS · 46 pts from 34
- 7 NovWNew England Revolution MLS1976
- 31 OctLCharlotte MLS1940
- 29 OctDChicago Fire MLS1963
- 24 OctDNew York City FC MLS1993
- 17 OctWDC United MLS1936
FC Cincinnati
9th in MLS · 46 pts from 34
- 7 NovLNashville SC MLS1999
- 31 OctWPhiladelphia Union MLS1962
- 28 OctDInter Miami MLS1970
- 24 OctWDC United MLS1945
- 21 OctWDC United MLS1940
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 46 /34 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17th |
| FC Cincinnati | 46 /34 | 47.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orlando City SC: balanced profile (how Martín Perelman plays) · FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how P. Noonan plays)