NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Exploria Stadium, Orlando

Orlando City SC crestOrlando City SCTeam 1937
4–1
Full time
HT 2–1
DC United crestDC UnitedTeam 1814

Match story

Orlando City SC · draw · DC United

Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 20%

Live chances: Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 54%, draw 26%, DC United 20%2' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 54%, draw 26%, DC United 20%3' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 54%, draw 27%, DC United 20%4' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 54%, draw 27%, DC United 20%5' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 54%, draw 27%, DC United 20%6' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 27%, DC United 20%7' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 27%, DC United 20%8' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 27%, DC United 20%9' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 27%, DC United 20%10' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 27%, DC United 20%11' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 53%, draw 28%, DC United 20%12' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 52%, draw 28%, DC United 20%13' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 52%, draw 28%, DC United 20%14' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 52%, draw 28%, DC United 20%15' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%16' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%17' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%18' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%19' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%21' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 7%22' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 77%, draw 16%, DC United 6%23' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%24' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%25' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%26' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%27' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%28' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%29' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%30' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%31' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%32' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%33' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%34' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%35' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%36' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 5%, DC United 1%37' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 5%, DC United 1%38' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%39' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%40' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%41' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%42' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%43' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%44' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%45' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%45+1' · 2–0 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 4%, DC United 1%45+2' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%45+3' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%HT · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%47' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 37%, DC United 20%48' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%49' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%50' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 78%, draw 17%, DC United 5%51' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 4%, DC United 1%52' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 4%, DC United 1%53' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 4%, DC United 1%54' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 3%, DC United 1%55' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 3%, DC United 1%56' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 3%, DC United 0%57' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 3%, DC United 0%58' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 3%, DC United 0%59' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%60' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%61' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%62' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%63' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%64' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%65' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 3%, DC United 0%66' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 2%, DC United 0%67' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 2%, DC United 0%68' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 97%, draw 2%, DC United 0%69' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%70' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%71' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%72' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%73' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%74' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%75' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%76' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, DC United 0%77' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 1%, DC United 0%78' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%79' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%80' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%81' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%82' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%83' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%84' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%85' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%86' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%87' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 99%, draw 1%, DC United 0%88' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%89' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90+4' · 3–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%90+5' · 4–1 · Orlando City SC 100%, draw 0%, DC United 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Orlando City SC 54% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Orlando City SC:Antoine Griezmann 2143 +19 assist Martin Ojeda 2036 +41
  2. 22'Orlando City SC:Martin Ojeda 2036 +41 assist Antoine Griezmann 2143 +19
  3. 38'Orlando City SC:Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino 1847 +20
  4. 45'DC United:Jackson Hopkins 1749 0 for Jared Stroud 1665 −2
  5. 45'Orlando City SC:Joran Gerbet 1879 +20* for Wilder Cartagena 1879 +8
  6. 45+2'DC United:Tai Baribo 1953 −16 (pen.)
  7. 50'Orlando City SC:Antoine Griezmann 2143 +19
  8. 65'DC United:Oscar Avilez 1620 0 for Brandon Servania 1822 −3
  9. 70'Orlando City SC:Adrián Marín 1926 −5* for Eduard Atuesta 2031 +32
  10. 70'Orlando City SC:Braian Ojeda 2009 +3 for Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino 1847 +20
  11. 70'Orlando City SC:Justin Ellis 2028 +9 for Daryl Dike 1848 +20
  12. 77'DC United:Kimito Nono 1951 −14
  13. 78'DC United:Matti Peltola 1869 −1 for Silvan Hefti 1873 −8
  14. 78'DC United:Nathan Ordaz 1873 −1 for João Gabriel Martins Peglow 1818 −2
  15. 82'DC United:Jackson Hopkins 1749 0
  16. 86'Orlando City SC:Marco Pašalić 1969 +2 for Martin Ojeda 2036 +41
  17. 89'DC United:Tai Baribo 1953 −16
  18. 90+5'Orlando City SC:Marco Pašalić 1969 +2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GM. Crépeau2114+10
DZ. Taifi1764+31
DD. Brekalo2149+14
DIago1814+83
DI. Angulo2102+11
MLuis Otávio1847+20
MW. Cartagena1879+8
ME. Atuesta2031+32
MA. Griezmann2143+19
MM. Ojeda2036+41
FD. Dike1848+20
CM. Perelman1909+43
GS. Johnson1806−7
DS. Hefti1873−8
DS. Nealis1840−6
DK. Rowles1878−9
DK. Kurokawa1865−8
MK. Nono1951−14
MA. Dozzell1935−14
MB. Servania1822−3
MPeglow1818−2
FT. Baribo1953−16
FJ. Stroud1665−2
CR. Weiler1875−15
Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 20%(Orlando City SC · draw · DC United)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–1 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Orlando City SC €2.1M, DC United €1.4M.
  • Orlando City SC were without 1 expected starter: R. Jansson (1985).
  • DC United were without 1 expected starter: L. Bartlett (1853).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Orlando City SC

7th in MLS · 38 pts from 29

  • 14 OctDToronto FC 1925
  • 10 OctWColumbus Crew 1943
  • 26 SepLPhiladelphia Union 1927
  • 19 SepLNew England Revolution 1964
  • 12 SepWToronto FC 1909

DC United

12th in MLS · 33 pts from 28

  • 14 OctWNew York Red Bulls 1837
  • 10 OctLInter Miami 1832
  • 27 SepDVancouver Whitecaps 1840
  • 19 SepLCharlotte 1870
  • 12 SepDAtlanta United FC 1889

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Orlando City SC38 /2945.30%0%0%14th
DC United33 /2839.80%0%6%23rd
Orlando City SC
DC United

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann

Orlando City SC · +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2125

K. Rowles
K. Rowles

DC United · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1887

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martín Perelman

Coach DNA: –

René Weiler

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Orlando City SC: balanced profile (how Martín Perelman plays) · DC United: direct · high-pressing (how René Weiler plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.