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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Orlando City SC 3–2 Columbus Crew

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Exploria Stadium, Orlando

Orlando City SC crestOrlando City SCTeam 1939
3–2
Full time
HT 2–1
Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewTeam 1973

Match story

Orlando City SC · draw · Columbus Crew

Before kick-off: 44% · 25% · 31%

Live chances: Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, Columbus Crew 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Orlando City SC 44%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 31%2' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 13%3' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 13%4' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 13%5' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 13%6' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 13%7' · 1–0 · Orlando City SC 69%, draw 18%, Columbus Crew 12%8' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 31%9' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 31%10' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 31%11' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 31%12' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 43%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 31%13' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 42%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 30%14' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 42%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 30%15' · 1–1 · Orlando City SC 42%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 30%16' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 12%17' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 12%18' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 12%19' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 12%20' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%21' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%22' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%23' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%24' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%25' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%26' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%27' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%28' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%29' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 11%30' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%31' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%32' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%33' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 70%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%34' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%35' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 19%, Columbus Crew 10%36' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 10%37' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 10%38' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 10%39' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%40' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%41' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%42' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%43' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%44' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 71%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%45' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 9%45+1' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%45+2' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%45+3' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%HT · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%47' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%48' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 72%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%49' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 73%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 8%50' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 73%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 7%51' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 73%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 7%52' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 73%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 7%53' · 2–1 · Orlando City SC 73%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 7%54' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 34%, draw 40%, Columbus Crew 26%55' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 33%, draw 41%, Columbus Crew 26%56' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 33%, draw 41%, Columbus Crew 26%57' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 32%, draw 42%, Columbus Crew 26%58' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 32%, draw 43%, Columbus Crew 25%59' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 32%, draw 43%, Columbus Crew 25%60' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 31%, draw 44%, Columbus Crew 25%61' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 31%, draw 45%, Columbus Crew 25%62' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 30%, draw 45%, Columbus Crew 24%63' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 30%, draw 46%, Columbus Crew 24%64' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 29%, draw 47%, Columbus Crew 24%65' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 29%, draw 48%, Columbus Crew 23%66' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 29%, draw 48%, Columbus Crew 23%68' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 28%, draw 50%, Columbus Crew 22%69' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 27%, draw 51%, Columbus Crew 22%71' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 26%, draw 53%, Columbus Crew 21%72' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 25%, draw 54%, Columbus Crew 21%73' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 25%, draw 55%, Columbus Crew 20%74' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 24%, draw 56%, Columbus Crew 20%76' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 23%, draw 58%, Columbus Crew 19%77' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 22%, draw 59%, Columbus Crew 18%78' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 21%, draw 61%, Columbus Crew 18%80' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 20%, draw 64%, Columbus Crew 17%82' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 18%, draw 66%, Columbus Crew 15%83' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 17%, draw 68%, Columbus Crew 15%84' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 17%, draw 70%, Columbus Crew 14%85' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 16%, draw 71%, Columbus Crew 13%86' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 15%, draw 73%, Columbus Crew 12%87' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 14%, draw 75%, Columbus Crew 12%88' · 2–2 · Orlando City SC 12%, draw 77%, Columbus Crew 11%89' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 90%, draw 9%, Columbus Crew 1%90' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 91%, draw 8%, Columbus Crew 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 92%, draw 7%, Columbus Crew 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 94%, draw 6%, Columbus Crew 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 95%, draw 5%, Columbus Crew 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 96%, draw 4%, Columbus Crew 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Orlando City SC 98%, draw 2%, Columbus Crew 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Orlando City SC 44% to win: they did.

  1. 1'Orlando City SC:Harvey Graham Sarajian 1622 +40* assist Antoine Griezmann 2133 +7*
  2. 3'Orlando City SC:Vinicius Nogueira 1713 +9*
  3. 7'Columbus Crew:Taha Habroune 1957 −20* assist Santiago Rodriguez 1998 −29*
  4. 16'Orlando City SC:Antoine Griezmann 2133 +7*
  5. 21'Columbus Crew:Taha Habroune 1957 −20*
  6. 23'Orlando City SC:Robin Jansson 1985 +1*
  7. 36'Columbus Crew:Brais Méndez 1999 −31*
  8. 41'Orlando City SC:David Brekalo 2136 +7
  9. 45'Orlando City SC:Bernardo Rhein 1838 +4* for Harvey Graham Sarajian 1622 +40*
  10. 52'Orlando City SC:Zakaria Taifi 1733 +4* for Vinicius Nogueira 1713 +9*
  11. 53'Columbus Crew:Brais Méndez 1999 −31* assist Taha Habroune 1957 −20*
  12. 59'Orlando City SC:Marco Pašalić 1967 +3*
  13. 62'Orlando City SC:Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino 1827 0* for Eduard Atuesta 2001 +1*
  14. 62'Orlando City SC:Daryl Dike 1828 −1* for Marco Pašalić 1967 +3*
  15. 70'Columbus Crew:Gonzalo Tapia 1863 −8* for Josef Martínez 1761 −12*
  16. 70'Columbus Crew:André Gomes 1923 −13* for Dylan Chambost 1939 −12*
  17. 83'Columbus Crew:Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 1623 −8* for Taha Habroune 1957 −20*
  18. 83'Orlando City SC:Justin Ellis 2019 −7* for David Brekalo 2136 +7
  19. 83'Columbus Crew:Brooks Lennon 1808 −9* for Anass Zaroury 2047 −17*
  20. 89'Orlando City SC:Iván Angulo 2092 +21* assist Martin Ojeda 1996 +34*
  21. 90'Columbus Crew:Marcelo Andrés Herrera 1932 −8* for Mohamed Farsi 2040 −17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GP. Schulte1978−14*
DM. Farsi2040−17*
DS. Moreira1954−16*
DS. Zawadzki1990−15*
DM. Amundsen2018−17*
MA. Zaroury2047−17*
MD. Chambost1939−12*
MT. Habroune1957−20*
MS. Rodríguez1998−29*
FBrais Méndez1999−31*
FJosef Martínez1761−12*
CL. Courtois1689−8*
Before kick-off: 44% · 25% · 31%(Orlando City SC · draw · Columbus Crew)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Orlando City SC €1.8M, Columbus Crew €3.3M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Orlando City SC

7th in MLS · 34 pts from 27

  • 26 SepLPhiladelphia Union 1927
  • 19 SepLNew England Revolution 1964
  • 12 SepWToronto FC 1909
  • 9 SepWAtlanta United FC 1966
  • 5 SepWSan Diego 1946

Columbus Crew

12th in MLS · 29 pts from 27

  • 27 SepWInter Miami 1947
  • 19 SepWCF Montreal 1938
  • 12 SepLNew York Red Bulls 1899
  • 9 SepLDC United 1894
  • 5 SepWColorado Rapids 1896

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Orlando City SC34 /2744.60%0%<1%14th
Columbus Crew29 /2738.60%0%10%25th
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann

Orlando City SC · +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2126

D. Chambost
D. Chambost

Columbus Crew · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1951

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martín Perelman

Coach DNA: –

Laurent Courtois

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Orlando City SC: balanced profile (how Martín Perelman plays) · Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.