Primera División · Apertura - 26
Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Oriente Petrolero host Independiente Petrolero on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oriente Petrolero 54%, draw 26%, Independiente Petrolero 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oriente Petrolero €185K, Independiente Petrolero €152K.
- Oriente Petrolero are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oriente Petrolero goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 1–08%
- 2–27%
- 3–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Oriente Petrolero 1436 · Independiente Petrolero 1288
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oriente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1487
Independiente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1358
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oriente Petrolero
4th in Primera División · 41 pts from 25
- 8 NovWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1416
- 31 OctDAurora Bolivia Primera Division1408
- 25 OctWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1369
- 18 OctDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1415
- 10 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1363
Independiente Petrolero
11th in Primera División · 30 pts from 25
- 6 NovLReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1277
- 30 OctDReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1309
- 24 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1252
- 17 OctDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1249
- 12 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1240
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 41 /25 | 45.0 | 0% | 59% | 0% | 4th |
| Independiente Petrolero | 30 /25 | 33.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oriente Petrolero: direct (how G. Florentín plays) · Independiente Petrolero: balanced profile (how J. Grass plays)