Primera División · Apertura - 24
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Oriente Petrolero host Aurora on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oriente Petrolero 42%, draw 29%, Aurora 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oriente Petrolero €198K, Aurora €147K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oriente Petrolero goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Oriente Petrolero 1444 · Aurora 1435
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oriente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1489
Aurora · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1626
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oriente Petrolero
5th in Primera División · 34 pts from 22
- 18 OctDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1428
- 10 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1410
- 17 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1413
- 12 SepLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1425
- 5 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1410
Aurora
6th in Primera División · 31 pts from 22
- 17 OctLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1391
- 11 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1431
- 16 SepLGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1469
- 11 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1442
- 5 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1456
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 34 /22 | 42.2 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 5th |
| Aurora | 31 /22 | 40.4 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oriente Petrolero: direct (how Gustavo Atilano Florentín Morinigo plays) · Aurora: balanced profile (how David Diaz plays)