Primera División · Apertura - 21
Oriente Petrolero 1–0 ABB
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
Oriente PetroleroTeam 1432ABBTeam 1284- Leonardo Vaca 90'
We gave Oriente Petrolero 54% to win: they did.
- 28'Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego –ABB:Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego –
- 32'Alejandro Bejarano –ABB:Alejandro Bejarano –
- Nabil Nacif Joffre – for Matias Aponte Parada45'Oriente Petrolero:Nabil Nacif Joffre – for Matias Aponte Parada
- Leonardo Vaca – for Carlos Enrique Saucedo Céspedes –45'Oriente Petrolero:Leonardo Vaca – for Carlos Enrique Saucedo Céspedes –
- Joffre·Escobar – for Fabricio Perez Guzman –45'Oriente Petrolero:Joffre·Escobar – for Fabricio Perez Guzman –
- 63'J. Briceno – for Layonel Figueroa –ABB:J. Briceno – for Layonel Figueroa –
- Juvenal Rojas Caraballo – for Julio·Herrera –70'Oriente Petrolero:Juvenal Rojas Caraballo – for Julio·Herrera –
- Dico Roca – for D. Rodriguez –70'Oriente Petrolero:Dico Roca – for D. Rodriguez –
- 72'E. Paniagua – for Gary Rea Mendieta –ABB:E. Paniagua – for Gary Rea Mendieta –
- 77'Juan Sebastian Reyes –ABB:Juan Sebastian Reyes –
- 87'Jairo Diego Rojas Montaño – for Adriel Guillermo –ABB:Jairo Diego Rojas Montaño – for Adriel Guillermo –
- 87'Fabio Zamora – for Alejandro Bejarano –ABB:Fabio Zamora – for Alejandro Bejarano –
- Leonardo Vaca – assist José Flores –90'Oriente Petrolero:Leonardo Vaca – assist José Flores –
- Joffre·Escobar –90+2'Oriente Petrolero:Joffre·Escobar –
- 90+2'E. Paniagua –ABB:E. Paniagua –
Before kick-off (provisional): 54% · 26% · 21%(Oriente Petrolero · draw · ABB)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oriente Petrolero €219K, ABB €141K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera División): Oriente Petrolero ranked #4 of 16, ABB #13.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oriente Petrolero
5th in Primera División · 30 pts from 20
- 17 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1413
- 12 SepLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1425
- 5 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1410
- 25 AugDGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1431
- 22 AugWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1415
ABB
13th in Primera División · 20 pts from 20
- 15 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1300
- 12 SepLBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1296
- 4 SepWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1285
- 28 AugLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1276
- 16 AugLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1277
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 30 /20 | 33.1 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 5th |
| ABB | 20 /20 | 22.2 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oriente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1474
ABB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1380
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oriente Petrolero: direct (how Gustavo Atilano Florentín Morinigo plays) · ABB: direct (how Walter Flores plays)