Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 28
Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Orgryte IS host Vasteras SK FK on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orgryte IS 32%, draw 29%, Vasteras SK FK 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orgryte IS €304K, Vasteras SK FK €500K.
- Vasteras SK FK's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Vasteras SK FK's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orgryte IS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Orgryte IS 1465 · Vasteras SK FK 1587
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orgryte IS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 1473
Vasteras SK FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1680
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orgryte IS
15th in Allsvenskan · 18 pts from 24
- 18 OctWGais Allsvenskan1435
- 11 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1467
- 19 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1473
- 13 SepLMalmo FF Allsvenskan1473
- 6 SepDHammarby FF Allsvenskan1488
Vasteras SK FK
6th in Allsvenskan · 38 pts from 24
- 18 OctWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1587
- 9 OctLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1593
- 19 SepWMalmo FF Allsvenskan1584
- 12 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1505
- 5 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1531
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 18 /24 | 24.4 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 15th |
| Vasteras SK FK | 38 /24 | 46.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orgryte IS: creative (how A. Holmberg plays) · Vasteras SK FK: balanced profile (how Alexander Rubin plays)