Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 29
Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Orgryte IS host Kalmar FF on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orgryte IS 37%, draw 29%, Kalmar FF 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orgryte IS €244K, Kalmar FF €311K.
- Home advantage makes Orgryte IS the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (Allsvenskan): Orgryte IS rank #1 of 18, Kalmar FF #15.
- Kalmar FF's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orgryte IS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 0–08%
- 1–28%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Orgryte IS 1441 · Kalmar FF 1495
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orgryte IS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1431
Kalmar FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1547
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orgryte IS
15th in Allsvenskan · 20 pts from 28
- 7 NovDVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1420
- 1 NovLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1439
- 29 OctLMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1483
- 24 OctDDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1469
- 18 OctWGais Allsvenskan1427
Kalmar FF
13th in Allsvenskan · 26 pts from 28
- 8 NovWSirius Allsvenskan1478
- 2 NovDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1485
- 29 OctLGais Allsvenskan1475
- 24 OctLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1508
- 19 OctWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1486
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 20 /28 | 22.6 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 14th |
| Kalmar FF | 26 /28 | 28.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orgryte IS: balanced profile (how A. Holmberg plays) · Kalmar FF: balanced profile (how Toni Koskela plays)