Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
Orgryte IS 4–2 Gais
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Orgryte ISTeam 1411GaisTeam 1582- Liam Filip Andersson 21'
- Tobias Sana 60' (pen)
- Viktor Ekblom 70', 74'
We gave Gais 43% to win: Orgryte IS won.
- Liam Filip Andersson 1321 +127 assist Benjamin laturnus 1488 +2721'Orgryte IS:Liam Filip Andersson 1321 +127 assist Benjamin laturnus 1488 +27
- 41'Anes Cardaklija 1629 −33* assist Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2Gais:Anes Cardaklija 1629 −33* assist Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2
- 44'Robin Frej 1671 −22*Gais:Robin Frej 1671 −22*
- 45'Melvin Andersson 1409 0 for Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic 1679 −6Gais:Melvin Andersson 1409 0 for Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic 1679 −6
- 48'Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2Gais:Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2
- Tobias Sana 1473 +81 (pen.)60'Orgryte IS:Tobias Sana 1473 +81 (pen.)
- 61'Matteo de Brienne 1731 −6 for Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2Gais:Matteo de Brienne 1731 −6 for Robin Wendin Thomasson 1587 −2
- 61'Henry Sletsjoe 1577 0 for Christos Gravius 1431 −2Gais:Henry Sletsjoe 1577 0 for Christos Gravius 1431 −2
- 65'Simon Jørgensen 1042 0Gais:Simon Jørgensen 1042 0
- 68'Nikola·Vasic 1360 −7 for Samuel Salter 1707 −13Gais:Nikola·Vasic 1360 −7 for Samuel Salter 1707 −13
- Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* for Liam Filip Andersson 1321 +12770'Orgryte IS:Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* for Liam Filip Andersson 1321 +127
- Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* assist michael parker 1564 +1470'Orgryte IS:Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* assist michael parker 1564 +14
- Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* assist Owen Parker-Price 1557 +5774'Orgryte IS:Viktor Ekblom 1330 +18* assist Owen Parker-Price 1557 +57
- 75'Jonas Lindberg 729 −11 for Oscar Pettersson 1521 0Gais:Jonas Lindberg 729 −11 for Oscar Pettersson 1521 0
- Daniel Paulson 1483 +2376'Orgryte IS:Daniel Paulson 1483 +23
- Adam Andersson 1484 +2 for michael parker 1564 +1477'Orgryte IS:Adam Andersson 1484 +2 for michael parker 1564 +14
- Anton Andreasson 1406 0 for Charlie Vindehall 1410 +20*77'Orgryte IS:Anton Andreasson 1406 0 for Charlie Vindehall 1410 +20*
- William Kenndal 1247 −8* for Daniel Paulson 1483 +2387'Orgryte IS:William Kenndal 1247 −8* for Daniel Paulson 1483 +23
- Johan Hammar 1480 −4 for Tobias Sana 1473 +8189'Orgryte IS:Johan Hammar 1480 −4 for Tobias Sana 1473 +81
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 43%(Orgryte IS · draw · Gais)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–2 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Orgryte IS €245K, Gais €456K.
- Gais were without 1 expected starter: R. Þorkelsson (1678).
- Style contrast in discipline (Allsvenskan): Orgryte IS ranked #2 of 16, Gais #15.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orgryte IS
15th in Allsvenskan · 15 pts from 23
- 11 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1467
- 19 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1473
- 13 SepLMalmo FF Allsvenskan1473
- 6 SepDHammarby FF Allsvenskan1488
- 30 AugLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1511
Gais
10th in Allsvenskan · 30 pts from 23
- 10 OctLSirius Allsvenskan1577
- 20 SepWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1560
- 14 SepLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1566
- 5 SepDBK Hacken Allsvenskan1600
- 31 AugWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1608
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 15 /23 | 22.5 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 15th |
| Gais | 30 /23 | 39.7 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orgryte IS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 1392
Gais · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1681
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orgryte IS: creative (how Claes Andreas Holmberg plays) · Gais: dribble-heavy (how Fredrik Jakob Holmberg plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.