Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 2
Orense SC 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Orense SCTeam 1468
Deportivo CuencaTeam 1492Match story
Orense SC · draw · Deportivo CuencaBefore kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%
Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Orense SC 38% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 57'Yeltzin Erique 1622 −6* for Jeremy Chacon 1558 −7*
Deportivo Cuenca:Yeltzin Erique 1622 −6* for Jeremy Chacon 1558 −7* - 64'Jeremy Mejía 1234 −6* for Melvin Diaz 1533 −6*
Deportivo Cuenca:Jeremy Mejía 1234 −6* for Melvin Diaz 1533 −6* - 65'Cristhian Benalcazar 1372 −7* for Germán Rivero 1400 −12*
Deportivo Cuenca:Cristhian Benalcazar 1372 −7* for Germán Rivero 1400 −12* - J. Valencia 1326 −8* for Ángel Mena 1420 −20*65'
Orense SC:J. Valencia 1326 −8* for Ángel Mena 1420 −20* - Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes 1252 −8* for Beder Caicedo 1576 −14*65'
Orense SC:Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes 1252 −8* for Beder Caicedo 1576 −14* - Gonzalo Rostagno 1415 −8* for Erick Pluas 1554 −8*73'
Orense SC:Gonzalo Rostagno 1415 −8* for Erick Pluas 1554 −8* - Nixon Molina 1526 −13* for Renny Jaramillo 1620 −9*76'
Orense SC:Nixon Molina 1526 −13* for Renny Jaramillo 1620 −9* - 82'David Gonzalez 1551 −7* for Edison Vega 1441 −15*
Deportivo Cuenca:David Gonzalez 1551 −7* for Edison Vega 1441 −15* - 82'Gian Nardelli 1474 −8* for Eddie Guevara 1328 −8*
Deportivo Cuenca:Gian Nardelli 1474 −8* for Eddie Guevara 1328 −8* - 90+8'Mateo Maccari 1557 −6*
Deportivo Cuenca:Mateo Maccari 1557 −6*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%(Orense SC · draw · Deportivo Cuenca)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%); the result 0–0 had 12%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Orense SC €271K, Deportivo Cuenca €315K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orense SC
13th in Liga Pro · 33 pts from 30
- 21 SepLManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1531
- 15 SepLUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1516
- 8 SepWGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1520
- 3 SepLLeones del Norte Ecuador Liga Pro1598
- 30 AugLMacara Ecuador Liga Pro1561
Deportivo Cuenca
12th in Liga Pro · 36 pts from 30
- 20 SepDMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1512
- 13 SepDLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1525
- 7 SepLLibertad Ecuador Liga Pro1532
- 2 SepWGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1506
- 29 AugLTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1522
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 33 /31 | 46.4 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 12th |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 37 /31 | 49.8 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Orense SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1562

Deportivo Cuenca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1563
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orense SC: balanced profile (how Hernán Torres Oliveros plays) · Deportivo Cuenca: balanced profile (how Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.