Superettan · Regular Season - 26
Orebro SK 1–1 Ljungskile SK
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Behrn Arena, Orebro
Orebro SKTeam 1383Ljungskile SKTeam 1264Match story
Orebro SK · draw · Ljungskile SKBefore kick-off: 51% · 27% · 22%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jacob Ortmark 66'
We gave Orebro SK 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 46'elton hedstrom 1313 for shakur omar 1173 +2*Ljungskile SK:elton hedstrom 1313 for shakur omar 1173 +2*
- Manasse Kusu 1388 for Karl Holmberg 1324 −13*46'Orebro SK:Manasse Kusu 1388 for Karl Holmberg 1324 −13*
- Jacob Ortmark 1461 for Chovanie Amatkarijo 1471 −8*64'Orebro SK:Jacob Ortmark 1461 for Chovanie Amatkarijo 1471 −8*
- Jacob Ortmark 1461 assist Erdal Rakip 1653 −14*66'Orebro SK:Jacob Ortmark 1461 assist Erdal Rakip 1653 −14*
- 69'Gustav hedin 1141 +3*Ljungskile SK:Gustav hedin 1141 +3*
- 72'Filip Ornblom 1261 for Gustav hedin 1141 +3*Ljungskile SK:Filip Ornblom 1261 for Gustav hedin 1141 +3*
- 73'samuel hogblom 1142 for Samuel Adrian 1162 +2*Ljungskile SK:samuel hogblom 1142 for Samuel Adrian 1162 +2*
- 82'alex rasheed 1167 for Lukas corner 1317 −4*Ljungskile SK:alex rasheed 1167 for Lukas corner 1317 −4*
- 82'David Frisk 1214 for mehmet uzel 1215 0*Ljungskile SK:David Frisk 1214 for mehmet uzel 1215 0*
- hampus soderstrom 1417 for Samuel Wikman 1242 −8*87'Orebro SK:hampus soderstrom 1417 for Samuel Wikman 1242 −8*
- Fabian Wahlstrom 1240 for Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul 1372 −8*87'Orebro SK:Fabian Wahlstrom 1240 for Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul 1372 −8*
- Christopher Redenstrand 1365 for Antonio Yakoub 1395 −8*90+1'Orebro SK:Christopher Redenstrand 1365 for Antonio Yakoub 1395 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 51% · 27% · 22%(Orebro SK · draw · Ljungskile SK)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Orebro SK €255K, Ljungskile SK €144K.
- Superettan: E. Rakip was the highest-rated midfielder (1667).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orebro SK
14th in Superettan · 24 pts from 25
- 19 SepLSandviken Sweden Superettan1418
- 14 SepDUnited Nordic Sweden Superettan1448
- 10 SepWGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1413
- 7 SepLOstersunds FK Sweden Superettan1395
- 25 AugWVarbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan1326
Ljungskile SK
12th in Superettan · 28 pts from 25
- 20 SepLGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1305
- 13 SepLFalkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan1312
- 9 SepWNorrby IF Sweden Superettan1300
- 4 SepDIFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan1305
- 29 AugLIFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan1307
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 24 /25 | 31.2 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 14th |
| Ljungskile SK | 28 /25 | 33.7 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orebro SK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1479
Ljungskile SK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1343
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.