Superettan · Regular Season - 28
Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 18:05 UTC · Behrn Arena
Orebro SK host Falkenbergs FF on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Superettan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Orebro SK 41%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Orebro SK €245K, Falkenbergs FF €211K.
- Home advantage makes Orebro SK the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Superettan: E. Rakip is the highest-rated midfielder (1653).
- Style contrast in possession (Superettan): Orebro SK rank #4 of 14, Falkenbergs FF #11.
- Falkenbergs FF are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Orebro SK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Orebro SK 1406 · Falkenbergs FF 1414
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orebro SK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1471
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Orebro SK
15th in Superettan · 25 pts from 26
- 11 OctDLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1403
- 19 SepLSandviken Sweden Superettan1418
- 14 SepDUnited Nordic Sweden Superettan1448
- 10 SepWGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1413
- 7 SepLOstersunds FK Sweden Superettan1395
Falkenbergs FF
2nd in Superettan · 51 pts from 27
- 17 OctWLandskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan1373
- 11 OctWIFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan1374
- 18 SepDOstersunds FK Sweden Superettan1374
- 13 SepWLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1349
- 10 SepWOsters IF Sweden Superettan1348
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 25 /26 | 30.3 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 15th |
| Falkenbergs FF | 51 /27 | 55.0 | <1% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Orebro SK: balanced profile (how Rikard Norling plays) · Falkenbergs FF: direct (how Christoffer Tobias Andersson plays)