Primera A · Clausura - 18
Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Once Caldas host Águilas Doradas on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Once Caldas 50%, draw 27%, Águilas Doradas 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Once Caldas €450K, Águilas Doradas €352K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Once Caldas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Once Caldas 1685 · Águilas Doradas 1644
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Once Caldas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1722
Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1715
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Once Caldas
5th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 21 OctDMillonarios Colombia Primera A1707
- 18 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1678
- 10 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1662
- 4 OctDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1666
- 26 SepLBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1629
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 18 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1624
- 13 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1630
- 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1618
- 3 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1611
- 28 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1590
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 33 /19 | 39.8 | 1% | 52% | 0% | 4th |
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 32.8 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Once Caldas: balanced profile (how H. Herrera plays) · Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how F. Robatto plays)