1. Division · Regular Season - 10
Omonia Nicosia vs Apoel Nicosia
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia host Apoel Nicosia on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Omonia Nicosia 51%, draw 26%, Apoel Nicosia 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Omonia Nicosia €1.6M, Apoel Nicosia €931K.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2015).
- Style contrast in chance creation (1. Division): Omonia Nicosia rank #8 of 9, Apoel Nicosia #1.
- All 11 of Apoel Nicosia's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Apoel Nicosia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Omonia Nicosia goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Omonia Nicosia 1870 · Apoel Nicosia 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1936
Apoel Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1744
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Nicosia
2nd in 1. Division · 18 pts from 9
- 8 NovWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1889
- 5 NovLNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League1877
- 31 OctWAEL Cypriot First Division1903
- 26 OctLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1890
- 22 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League1877
Apoel Nicosia
4th in 1. Division · 17 pts from 9
- 8 NovWAris Cypriot First Division1726
- 25 OctWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1716
- 19 OctDPafos Cypriot First Division1759
- 10 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1724
- 19 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1604
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 18 /9 | 53.2 | 47% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
| Apoel Nicosia | 17 /9 | 47.0 | 8% | 63% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how H. Berg plays) · Apoel Nicosia: possession-based · creative (how Nikolaos Papadopoulos plays)