1. Division · Regular Season - 8
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia host AEL on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Omonia Nicosia 64%, draw 21%, AEL 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Omonia Nicosia €1.7M, AEL €426K.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2084).
- Omonia Nicosia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Omonia Nicosia goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Omonia Nicosia 1886 · AEL 1603
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 2084
AEL · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1614
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Nicosia
4th in 1. Division · 11 pts from 5
- 15 OctWCelje UEFA Europa League1894
- 9 OctWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1890
- 20 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1883
- 16 SepWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League1860
- 12 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1860
AEL
1st in 1. Division · 15 pts from 6
- 18 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1571
- 11 OctWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1583
- 18 SepWPafos Cypriot First Division1547
- 11 SepWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1529
- 6 SepLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1616
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 11 /5 | 55.6 | 58% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
| AEL | 15 /6 | 43.7 | 2% | 34% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –