1. Division · Regular Season - 10
Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou host Pafos on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Omonia Aradippou 16%, draw 23%, Pafos 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Omonia Aradippou €271K, Pafos €1.4M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (1. Division): Omonia Aradippou rank #9 of 9, Pafos #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Omonia Aradippou goals first.
- 0–112%
- 0–211%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–37%
- 0–07%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Omonia Aradippou 1448 · Pafos 1767
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Omonia Aradippou · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1314
Pafos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1902
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Aradippou
13th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 9
- 6 NovLNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1481
- 24 OctLAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1466
- 18 OctLAEL Cypriot First Division1497
- 12 OctLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1464
- 20 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1474
Pafos
6th in 1. Division · 16 pts from 9
- 8 NovWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1690
- 5 NovLTwente UEFA Conference League1752
- 31 OctDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1746
- 26 OctDNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1705
- 22 OctDRiga UEFA Conference League1778
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 6 /9 | 23.4 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 12th |
| Pafos | 16 /9 | 47.4 | 9% | 65% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Omonia Aradippou: balanced profile (how Giannis Okkas plays) · Pafos: balanced profile (how Sá Pinto plays)