1. Division · Regular Season - 8
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou host Apoel Nicosia on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Omonia Aradippou 21%, draw 26%, Apoel Nicosia 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Omonia Aradippou €288K, Apoel Nicosia €633K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Omonia Aradippou goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Omonia Aradippou 1453 · Apoel Nicosia 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Omonia Aradippou · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1334
Apoel Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1704
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Aradippou
9th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 6
- 18 OctLAEL Cypriot First Division1505
- 12 OctLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1472
- 20 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1482
- 12 SepDKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1443
- 5 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1424
Apoel Nicosia
8th in 1. Division · 7 pts from 5
- 10 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1732
- 19 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1616
- 12 SepLAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1645
- 6 SepWAEL Cypriot First Division1686
- 29 AugLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1717
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 6 /6 | 27.0 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 9th |
| Apoel Nicosia | 7 /5 | 42.4 | 2% | 29% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile