1. Division · Regular Season - 6
Omonia Aradippou 0–2 AEL
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Aradippou Stadium, Aradippou
Omonia AradippouTeam 1465
AELTeam 1558Match story
Omonia Aradippou · draw · AELBefore kick-off: 29% · 30% · 41%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Luther Singh 61'
- Chinedu Geoffrey 63'
We gave AEL 41% to win: they did.
- Minas Antoniou 1547 −1015'
Omonia Aradippou:Minas Antoniou 1547 −10 - Jairo Izquierdo 1531 −17*19'
Omonia Aradippou:Jairo Izquierdo 1531 −17* - 39'diogo gomes 1397 +39
AEL:diogo gomes 1397 +39 - 61'Luther Singh 1640 +14
AEL:Luther Singh 1640 +14 - 63'Chinedu Geoffrey 1616 +8*
AEL:Chinedu Geoffrey 1616 +8* - curtis makosso 1208 for Achraf bouchataoui el 1515 −372'
Omonia Aradippou:curtis makosso 1208 for Achraf bouchataoui el 1515 −3 - michalis koumouris 1343 for Giorgos Pontikos 1525 −372'
Omonia Aradippou:michalis koumouris 1343 for Giorgos Pontikos 1525 −3 - evripidou evripidou for Niko Havelka 1529 −472'
Omonia Aradippou:evripidou evripidou for Niko Havelka 1529 −4 - gonzalez mathias 1422 for Unai García 1452 −672'
Omonia Aradippou:gonzalez mathias 1422 for Unai García 1452 −6 - 75'Sergio Conceicao 1538 for Tavares jair 1487 +21*
AEL:Sergio Conceicao 1538 for Tavares jair 1487 +21* - 75'Ivan Milosavljevic 1578 for Chinedu Geoffrey 1616 +8*
AEL:Ivan Milosavljevic 1578 for Chinedu Geoffrey 1616 +8* - 84'François Régis Mughe 1672 for Stevan Jovetić 1614 +8
AEL:François Régis Mughe 1672 for Stevan Jovetić 1614 +8 - 84'Danil Paroutis 1491 for Luther Singh 1640 +14
AEL:Danil Paroutis 1491 for Luther Singh 1640 +14 - Sebastián Lomónaco 1649 for Jeremy van Mullem 1621 −1286'
Omonia Aradippou:Sebastián Lomónaco 1649 for Jeremy van Mullem 1621 −12 - 86'giorgios papageorgiou 1542 +23
AEL:giorgios papageorgiou 1542 +23
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 29% · 30% · 41%(Omonia Aradippou · draw · AEL)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Omonia Aradippou €278K, AEL €389K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Aradippou
8th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 5
- 12 OctLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1472
- 20 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1482
- 12 SepDKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1443
- 5 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1424
- 31 AugDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1388
AEL
3rd in 1. Division · 12 pts from 5
- 11 OctWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1583
- 18 SepWPafos Cypriot First Division1547
- 11 SepWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1529
- 6 SepLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1616
- 30 AugWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1595
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 6 /5 | 27.5 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 9th |
| AEL | 12 /5 | 42.2 | 1% | 24% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Omonia Aradippou · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1334

AEL · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1606
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.