1. Division · Regular Season - 5
Olympiakos 1–2 Aris
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
OlympiakosTeam 1410ArisTeam 1604We gave Aris 50% to win: they did.
- 40'junior rody effaghe –Aris:junior rody effaghe –
- 45'Veljko Nikolić –Aris:Veljko Nikolić –
- 46'Gedeon Kalulu – for Gustavo Pajé –Aris:Gedeon Kalulu – for Gustavo Pajé –
- 46'Bernardo Pereira Folha – for Veljko Nikolić –Aris:Bernardo Pereira Folha – for Veljko Nikolić –
- Dominik Prokop – for Pedro Miguel Esteves Sancho –55'Olympiakos:Dominik Prokop – for Pedro Miguel Esteves Sancho –
- Alexandros Lolis – for Agapios Vrikkis –55'Olympiakos:Alexandros Lolis – for Agapios Vrikkis –
- Henrique Gomes –57'Olympiakos:Henrique Gomes –
- 62'Werton – for dennis gaustad –Aris:Werton – for dennis gaustad –
- Constantinos christou for Bruno Paz –62'Olympiakos:Constantinos christou for Bruno Paz –
- 68'Werton –Aris:Werton –
- Zannetos Savva – for Eduardo Kunde –72'Olympiakos:Zannetos Savva – for Eduardo Kunde –
- nhayson – for Jean Felipe –72'Olympiakos:nhayson – for Jean Felipe –
- 74'charalampos charalampous –Aris:charalampos charalampous –
- Zannetos Savva –75'Olympiakos:Zannetos Savva –
- 80'Werton –Aris:Werton –
- 84'Anderson Correia –Aris:Anderson Correia –
- 85'Gedeon Kalulu –Aris:Gedeon Kalulu –
- Panagiotis Kynigopoulos –86'Olympiakos:Panagiotis Kynigopoulos –
- 86'bence szakos – for Sane mamadouAris:bence szakos – for Sane mamadou
- 90+1'Aris:
- 90+2'Olympiakos:
Before kick-off (provisional): 23% · 27% · 50%(Olympiakos · draw · Aris)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos €197K, Aris €454K.
- Only 2 of Aris' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Olympiakos were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos
10th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 4
- 20 SepDOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1311
- 13 SepDOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1391
- 7 SepDPafos Cypriot First Division1315
- 28 AugDNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1395
- 15 MayWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1460
Aris
9th in 1. Division · 5 pts from 4
- 20 SepDKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1561
- 7 SepLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1588
- 29 AugDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1604
- 22 MayLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1574
- 16 MayLApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1627
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 4 /4 | 24.7 | 0% | <1% | 43% | 11th |
| Aris | 5 /4 | 36.8 | <1% | 9% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1414
Aris · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1529
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –