1. Division · Regular Season - 9
Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Olympiakos host Apollon Limassol on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos 14%, draw 21%, Apollon Limassol 65%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos €204K, Apollon Limassol €851K.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Apollon Limassol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Olympiakos 1390 · Apollon Limassol 1756
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Olympiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1421

Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1805
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos
10th in 1. Division · 5 pts from 6
- 19 OctDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1411
- 11 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1341
- 20 SepDOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1311
- 13 SepDOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1391
- 7 SepDPafos Cypriot First Division1315
Apollon Limassol
4th in 1. Division · 12 pts from 6
- 17 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1784
- 10 OctWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1763
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 12 SepDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1730
- 5 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1668
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 5 /6 | 23.2 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 13th |
| Apollon Limassol | 12 /6 | 48.9 | 15% | 76% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct