1. Division · Regular Season - 10
Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Olympiakos host AEK Larnaca on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos 15%, draw 22%, AEK Larnaca 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos €251K, AEK Larnaca €604K.
- 1. Division: A. Paleari is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1988).
- AEK Larnaca are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos goals first.
- 0–112%
- 0–212%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–38%
- 0–07%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Olympiakos 1416 · AEK Larnaca 1764
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1510
AEK Larnaca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1716
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos
9th in 1. Division · 9 pts from 9
- 7 NovWApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1394
- 30 OctLKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1398
- 24 OctDKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1420
- 19 OctDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1401
- 11 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1333
AEK Larnaca
1st in 1. Division · 20 pts from 9
- 6 NovWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1743
- 31 OctDKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1790
- 26 OctWOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 18 OctDAris Cypriot First Division1752
- 12 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1769
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 9 /9 | 24.6 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 11th |
| AEK Larnaca | 20 /9 | 51.2 | 27% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile