Super League 1 · Regular Season - 10
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus host PAOK on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 51%, draw 27%, PAOK 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos Piraeus €5.0M, PAOK €3.4M.
- Super League 1: S. Ortega is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2279).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Super League 1): Olympiakos Piraeus rank #1 of 14, PAOK #13.
- Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos Piraeus goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 2105 · PAOK 1962
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos Piraeus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2264
PAOK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2094
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd in Super League 1 · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctWSparta Praha UEFA Europa League2143
- 18 OctWPanetolikos Greece Super League2083
- 15 OctWMarseille UEFA Europa League2104
- 11 OctWPanathinaikos Greece Super League2087
- 20 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League2060
PAOK
3rd in Super League 1 · 15 pts from 7
- 18 OctWIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1937
- 12 OctLKalamata Greece Super League1969
- 20 SepWPanetolikos Greece Super League1981
- 13 SepWAris Thessalonikis Greece Super League1942
- 6 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1976
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 16 /7 | 55.8 | 39% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| PAOK | 15 /7 | 47.8 | 4% | 79% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil plays) · PAOK: possession-based (how Alessio Lisci plays)