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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6

Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos PiraeusTeam 2092
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Panathinaikos crestPanathinaikosTeam 2037

Match story

Olympiakos Piraeus · draw · Panathinaikos

Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%

Live chances: Olympiakos Piraeus 97%, draw 3%, Panathinaikos 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 43%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 29%2' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 43%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 29%3' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 43%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 29%4' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%5' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%6' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%7' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%8' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%9' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%10' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%11' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 29%12' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 29%13' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 29%14' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 29%15' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 29%16' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 29%17' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 29%18' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 28%19' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 28%20' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 28%21' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 28%22' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 32%, Panathinaikos 28%23' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 32%, Panathinaikos 28%24' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 32%, Panathinaikos 28%25' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 40%, draw 32%, Panathinaikos 28%26' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 33%, Panathinaikos 28%27' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 33%, Panathinaikos 28%28' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 33%, Panathinaikos 28%29' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 33%, Panathinaikos 28%30' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 33%, Panathinaikos 28%31' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 39%, draw 34%, Panathinaikos 28%32' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 38%, draw 34%, Panathinaikos 28%33' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 38%, draw 34%, Panathinaikos 28%34' · 0–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 38%, draw 35%, Panathinaikos 28%35' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%36' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%37' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%38' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%39' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%40' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%41' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%42' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 8%43' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%44' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%45' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%45+1' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%45+2' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%45+3' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%HT · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%47' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%48' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 7%49' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%50' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%51' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%52' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%53' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 75%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%54' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 75%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 6%55' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 75%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%56' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 75%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%57' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%58' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%59' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%60' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 5%61' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 4%62' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 4%63' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 18%, Panathinaikos 4%64' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 78%, draw 18%, Panathinaikos 4%65' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 78%, draw 18%, Panathinaikos 4%66' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 78%, draw 18%, Panathinaikos 4%67' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 69%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 7%68' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 69%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 7%69' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 70%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 6%70' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 71%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 6%71' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 71%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 6%72' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 72%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 5%73' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 5%74' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 5%75' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 74%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 4%76' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 75%, draw 21%, Panathinaikos 4%77' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 21%, Panathinaikos 4%78' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 3%79' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 77%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 3%80' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 78%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 3%81' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 79%, draw 18%, Panathinaikos 3%82' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 80%, draw 17%, Panathinaikos 2%83' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 81%, draw 17%, Panathinaikos 2%84' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 82%, draw 16%, Panathinaikos 2%85' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 83%, draw 15%, Panathinaikos 2%86' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 84%, draw 14%, Panathinaikos 1%87' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 85%, draw 13%, Panathinaikos 1%88' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 87%, draw 12%, Panathinaikos 1%89' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 88%, draw 11%, Panathinaikos 1%90' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 89%, draw 10%, Panathinaikos 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 91%, draw 9%, Panathinaikos 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 92%, draw 7%, Panathinaikos 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 94%, draw 6%, Panathinaikos 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 96%, draw 4%, Panathinaikos 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 97%, draw 3%, Panathinaikos 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Olympiakos Piraeus 43% to win: they did.

  1. 25'Olympiakos Piraeus:Kostas Fortounis 1923 +32*
  2. 25'Panathinaikos:Vicente Taborda 2010 −8*
  3. 34'Olympiakos Piraeus:Panagiotis Retsos 2266 +20 assist Remo Freuler 2273 +13
  4. 43'Panathinaikos:Santino Andino 1922 −8*
  5. 45'Panathinaikos:Kings Kangwa 2039 −11* for Etiene Camara 1928 −8*
  6. 45'Panathinaikos:Anass Salah-Eddine 2198 −14* for Giorgos Kyriakopoulos 2065 −12*
  7. 45+2'Olympiakos Piraeus:Panagiotis Retsos 2266 +20
  8. 47'Panathinaikos:Anass Salah-Eddine 2198 −14*
  9. 51'Panathinaikos:Stefan de Vrij 2052 −17*
  10. 62'Panathinaikos:Levi García 1910 −1 for Vicente Taborda 2010 −8*
  11. 63'Olympiakos Piraeus:Manolis Saliakas 2025 +10
  12. 66'Olympiakos Piraeus:Manolis Saliakas 2025 +10
  13. 69'Olympiakos Piraeus:Roman Yaremchuk 1991 +2 for Marius Mouandilmadji 1935 +7*
  14. 70'Olympiakos Piraeus:Gelson Martins 2090 −8* for Kostas Fortounis 1923 +32*
  15. 70'Olympiakos Piraeus:Marcus Pedersen 2128 +7 for Chiquinho 2104 +12*
  16. 73'Panathinaikos:Cyriel Dessers 1929 −11* for Santino Andino 1922 −8*
  17. 77'Panathinaikos:Levi García 1910 −1
  18. 82'Panathinaikos:Imrân Louza 2015 −9*
  19. 83'Olympiakos Piraeus:Bruno Onyemaechi 2023 −5* for Nayair Tiknizyan 2116 +34
  20. 83'Panathinaikos:Adriano Jagusic 1519 −8* for Azzedine Ounahi 2140 −16*
  21. 89'Olympiakos Piraeus:Santiago Hezze 2143 −7* for Gustavo Puerta 2124 +5*
  22. 90+3'Panathinaikos:Adriano Jagusic 1519 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GS. Ortega2241+13*
DM. Saliakas2025+10
DP. Retsos2266+20
DL. Pirola2189+21*
DN. Tiknizyan2116+34
MR. Freuler2273+13
MG. Puerta2124+5*
MJota Silva2029+9*
MChiquinho2104+12*
MK. Fortounis1923+32*
FM. Mouandilmadji1935+7*
CImanol Alguacil2065+21*
GIñaki Peña2187−20*
DD. Calabria2131−18*
DS. de Vrij2052−17*
DR. van Drongelen2129−17*
DG. Kiriakopoulos2065−12*
MV. Taborda2010−8*
ME. Camara1928−8*
MI. Louza2015−9*
MSantino Andino1922−8*
FA. Ounahi2140−16*
FA. Tetteh2074−4
CJacob Neestrup1985−8*
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(Olympiakos Piraeus · draw · Panathinaikos)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Olympiakos Piraeus €4.2M, Panathinaikos €4.3M.
  • Draw chance was 29%, above the Super League 1 average of 23% this round.
  • Super League 1: S. Ortega was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2228).
  • Panathinaikos had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Olympiakos Piraeus

5th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 5

  • 20 SepWLevadiakos 2060
  • 16 SepWJagiellonia 2086
  • 12 SepLOFI 2092
  • 5 SepDVolos NFC 2044
  • 30 AugWAsteras Tripolis 2037

Panathinaikos

1st in Super League 1 · 15 pts from 5

  • 20 SepWKalamata 2048
  • 13 SepWPanetolikos 2033
  • 10 SepWKifisia 2010
  • 6 SepWPAOK 1988
  • 31 AugWLevadiakos 1967

Season outlook

From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Olympiakos Piraeus10 /552.116%94%0%4th
Panathinaikos15 /555.032%97%0%1st
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Puerta
G. Puerta

Olympiakos Piraeus · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2119

R. van Drongelen
R. van Drongelen

Panathinaikos · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2146

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Jacob Neestrup Hansen

Coach DNA: creative · possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea plays) · Panathinaikos: possession-based (how Jacob Neestrup Hansen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.