Super League 1 · Regular Season - 8
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus host Kalamata on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 16%, Kalamata 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos Piraeus €4.6M, Kalamata €589K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League 1 matchday 8: 422 points.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Super League 1 average of 25% this round.
- Super League 1: S. Ortega is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2278).
- Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos Piraeus goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 2098 · Kalamata 1676
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos Piraeus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2267
Kalamata · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1869
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd in Super League 1 · 16 pts from 7
- 18 OctWPanetolikos Greece Super League2083
- 15 OctWMarseille UEFA Europa League2104
- 11 OctWPanathinaikos Greece Super League2087
- 20 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League2060
- 16 SepWJagiellonia UEFA Europa League2086
Kalamata
6th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 OctWOFI Greece Super League1669
- 12 OctWPAOK Greece Super League1573
- 20 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1553
- 13 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League1561
- 6 SepDAtromitos Greece Super League1541
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 16 /7 | 55.4 | 38% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| Kalamata | 10 /7 | 30.2 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –