Super League 1 · Regular Season - 11
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Iraklis 1908
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus host Iraklis 1908 on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 76%, draw 15%, Iraklis 1908 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos Piraeus €5.6M, Iraklis 1908 €440K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League 1 matchday 11: 423 points.
- Draw chance 15%, below the Super League 1 average of 24% this round.
- Super League 1: S. Ortega is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2283).
- All 11 of Iraklis 1908's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos Piraeus goals first.
- 2–016%
- 1–016%
- 3–011%
- 2–19%
- 1–17%
- 0–06%
- Other scores35%
Team Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 2102 · Iraklis 1908 1679
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos Piraeus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Average) · Elo 2246
Iraklis 1908 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1793
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd in Super League 1 · 23 pts from 10
- 8 NovDPAOK Greece Super League2138
- 4 NovDRennes UEFA Europa League2091
- 31 OctWKifisia Greece Super League2138
- 25 OctWKalamata Greece Super League2068
- 22 OctWSparta Praha UEFA Europa League2139
Iraklis 1908
9th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 10
- 8 NovLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1685
- 2 NovDKalamata Greece Super League1681
- 24 OctLKifisia Greece Super League1692
- 18 OctLPAOK Greece Super League1714
- 11 OctWLevadiakos Greece Super League1681
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 23 /10 | 56.0 | 29% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Iraklis 1908 | 10 /10 | 27.1 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct