1. SNL · Regular Season - 11
Olimpija Ljubljana 3–3 Mura
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Olimpija LjubljanaTeam 1557
MuraTeam 1418We gave Olimpija Ljubljana 53% to win: it ended in a draw.
- I. Tuci –31'
Olimpija Ljubljana:I. Tuci – - 33'A. Zeljkovic –
Mura:A. Zeljkovic – - I. Tuci –52'
Olimpija Ljubljana:I. Tuci – - 54'N. Kasalo –
Mura:N. Kasalo – - D. Mitrovski – for B. Lourenco –61'
Olimpija Ljubljana:D. Mitrovski – for B. Lourenco – - 64'A. Zalaznik –
Mura:A. Zalaznik – - A. Marin –65'
Olimpija Ljubljana:A. Marin – - 66'B. Dimitrov – for K. Kurtovic –
Mura:B. Dimitrov – for K. Kurtovic – - 69'D. Oroian –
Mura:D. Oroian – - Diga –73'
Olimpija Ljubljana:Diga – - 74'B. Dimitrov –
Mura:B. Dimitrov – - 75'L. Bobicanec – for S. Butic –
Mura:L. Bobicanec – for S. Butic – - 75'F. Jevsenak – for N. Kasalo –
Mura:F. Jevsenak – for N. Kasalo – - 78'M. Matic –
Mura:M. Matic – - L. Perea – for A. Marin –85'
Olimpija Ljubljana:L. Perea – for A. Marin – - B. Lourenco – for D. Kojic –85'
Olimpija Ljubljana:B. Lourenco – for D. Kojic – - 86'Z. Petrovic –
Mura:Z. Petrovic – - 86'A. Korosec – for N. Kouter –
Mura:A. Korosec – for N. Kouter – - 86'I. Jelic – for A. Zalaznik –
Mura:I. Jelic – for A. Zalaznik – - A. Tamm – for A. Doffo –90+1'
Olimpija Ljubljana:A. Tamm – for A. Doffo –
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(Olimpija Ljubljana · draw · Mura)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olimpija Ljubljana €444K, Mura €225K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olimpija Ljubljana
4th in 1. SNL · 14 pts from 10
- 29 AugDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1575
- 25 JulLMura Slovenia 1 SNL1564
- 14 MarWRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1622
- 8 MarDMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1633
- 28 FebWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1600
Mura
9th in 1. SNL · 9 pts from 10
- 29 AugLBravo Slovenia 1 SNL1464
- 25 JulWOlimpija Ljubljana Slovenia 1 SNL1289
- 3 MayLKoper Slovenia 1 SNL1399
- 14 MarLMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1395
- 7 MarWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1376
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 14 /10 | 49.4 | 7% | 69% | 5% | 4th |
| Mura | 9 /10 | 37.0 | 0% | 6% | 66% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Olimpija Ljubljana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1596
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –