1. SNL · Regular Season - 13
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana host Celje on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (1. SNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olimpija Ljubljana 29%, draw 28%, Celje 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olimpija Ljubljana €431K, Celje €948K.
- 1. SNL: Ž. Žužek is the highest-rated defender (1955).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olimpija Ljubljana goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Olimpija Ljubljana 1559 · Celje 1728
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olimpija Ljubljana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1596
Celje · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1955
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olimpija Ljubljana
4th in 1. SNL · 18 pts from 12
- 29 AugDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1575
- 25 JulLMura Slovenia 1 SNL1564
- 14 MarWRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1622
- 8 MarDMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1633
- 28 FebWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1600
Celje
6th in 1. SNL · 16 pts from 11
- 15 OctLOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1760
- 16 SepLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1757
- 26 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1697
- 19 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1701
- 11 AugWArarat-Armenia UEFA Champions League1733
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 18 /12 | 50.1 | 5% | 75% | 2% | 4th |
| Celje | 16 /11 | 57.4 | 29% | 97% | <1% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –