Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 20
Olimpia vs Sportivo Trinidense
Wed 18 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Olimpia host Sportivo Trinidense on Wed 18 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olimpia 62%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olimpia €569K, Sportivo Trinidense €211K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Olveira is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1858).
- Style contrast in attacking (Division Profesional - Clausura): Olimpia rank #1 of 13, Sportivo Trinidense #10.
- Sportivo Trinidense's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
- Olimpia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olimpia goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Olimpia 1758 · Sportivo Trinidense 1541
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olimpia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1863
Sportivo Trinidense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1621
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olimpia
1st in Division Profesional - Clausura · 36 pts from 17
- 1 NovWCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1734
- 25 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1730
- 17 OctW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1736
- 11 OctDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1743
- 6 OctDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1723
Sportivo Trinidense
3rd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 17
- 30 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1552
- 24 OctWNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1539
- 18 OctWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1511
- 10 OctDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1491
- 5 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1492
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 36 /17 | 46.2 | 91% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 30 /17 | 36.5 | 1% | 54% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Olimpia: creative · shot-heavy (how P. Sánchez plays) · Sportivo Trinidense: balanced profile (how J. Arrúa plays)