Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 18
Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Olimpia host Deportivo Recoleta on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olimpia 71%, draw 18%, Deportivo Recoleta 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olimpia €499K, Deportivo Recoleta €244K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 18: 335 points.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Division Profesional - Clausura average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Division Profesional - Clausura): Olimpia rank #1 of 12, Deportivo Recoleta #10.
- Olimpia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olimpia goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 3–09%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Olimpia 1739 · Deportivo Recoleta 1404
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olimpia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1835
Deportivo Recoleta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1482
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olimpia
1st in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 15
- 17 OctW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1737
- 11 OctDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 6 OctDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1724
- 28 SepWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1719
- 20 SepWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1719
Deportivo Recoleta
11th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 11 pts from 15
- 16 OctWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1379
- 12 OctLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1395
- 5 OctLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1398
- 28 SepDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1373
- 20 SepLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1383
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 30 /15 | 43.0 | 55% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 11 /15 | 18.0 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Olimpia: creative · shot-heavy (how P. Sánchez plays) · Deportivo Recoleta: balanced profile (how J. González plays)