Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15
Olimpia 3–0 2 de Mayo
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 22:20 UTC · Estadio Manuel Ferreira, Asunción
OlimpiaTeam 17022 de MayoTeam 1514- Gabriel Ávalos 6'
- Mateo Gamarra 85'
- Rodney Redes 90+4'
We gave Olimpia 59% to win: they did.
- Gabriel Ávalos 1754 +12 assist Richard Ortiz 1683 +276'Olimpia:Gabriel Ávalos 1754 +12 assist Richard Ortiz 1683 +27
- Juan Fernando Alfaro 1788 +1727'Olimpia:Juan Fernando Alfaro 1788 +17
- Gustavo David Vargas Areco 1717 0* for Juan Vera 1677 +432'Olimpia:Gustavo David Vargas Areco 1717 0* for Juan Vera 1677 +4
- 45'Tobías Sanabria Panotto for Luis Delgadillo 1259 02 de Mayo:Tobías Sanabria Panotto for Luis Delgadillo 1259 0
- 51'Alexis Fariña 1630 −92 de Mayo:Alexis Fariña 1630 −9
- 57'Alexis Villalba 1642 −6 for Alberto Espinola 1602 −142 de Mayo:Alexis Villalba 1642 −6 for Alberto Espinola 1602 −14
- Bernardo Romeo Benitez Farina 1705 +4* for Sebastián Ferreira 1720 +657'Olimpia:Bernardo Romeo Benitez Farina 1705 +4* for Sebastián Ferreira 1720 +6
- 64'F. Cáceres 1368 −2 for Alexis Fariña 1630 −92 de Mayo:F. Cáceres 1368 −2 for Alexis Fariña 1630 −9
- 64'Tobías Gabriel Portillo Ávalos 1343 0 for Pedro Delvalle 1449 −52 de Mayo:Tobías Gabriel Portillo Ávalos 1343 0 for Pedro Delvalle 1449 −5
- 68'Ó. Romero 1610 −112 de Mayo:Ó. Romero 1610 −11
- Tiago Caballero 1269 +8 for Gabriel Ávalos 1754 +1268'Olimpia:Tiago Caballero 1269 +8 for Gabriel Ávalos 1754 +12
- Franco Alfonso 1602 +4 for Eduardo Delmas 1683 +1068'Olimpia:Franco Alfonso 1602 +4 for Eduardo Delmas 1683 +10
- Rodney Redes 1737 +6 for Juan Fernando Alfaro 1788 +1769'Olimpia:Rodney Redes 1737 +6 for Juan Fernando Alfaro 1788 +17
- 82'Jorge Sanguina 1334 −8* for Tobias Cervera 1619 −102 de Mayo:Jorge Sanguina 1334 −8* for Tobias Cervera 1619 −10
- Mateo Gamarra 1835 +18 assist Fernando Cardozo 1839 +1885'Olimpia:Mateo Gamarra 1835 +18 assist Fernando Cardozo 1839 +18
- Tiago Caballero 1269 +888'Olimpia:Tiago Caballero 1269 +8
- 90'Pedro·Sosa 1619 −192 de Mayo:Pedro·Sosa 1619 −19
- Rodney Redes 1737 +690+4'Olimpia:Rodney Redes 1737 +6
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 59% · 24% · 17%(Olimpia · draw · 2 de Mayo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Olimpia €583K, 2 de Mayo €235K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Olveira was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1796).
- Olimpia were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olimpia
2nd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 27 pts from 14
- 11 OctDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 6 OctDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1724
- 28 SepWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1719
- 20 SepWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1719
- 13 SepWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1730
2 de Mayo
1st in Division Profesional - Clausura · 28 pts from 14
- 12 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1560
- 5 OctWCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1481
- 26 SepDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1422
- 18 SepLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1543
- 11 SepLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1563
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 27 /14 | 41.9 | 43% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
| 2 de Mayo | 28 /14 | 39.2 | 13% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olimpia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1817
2 de Mayo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1639
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Olimpia: creative · shot-heavy (how Pablo Andrés Sánchez plays) · 2 de Mayo: balanced profile (how Felipe Ariel Giménez Miranda plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.