FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Boundary Park, Oldham
Oldham host Sheffield Wednesday on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oldham 28%, draw 28%, Sheffield Wednesday 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oldham €178K, Sheffield Wednesday €1.3M.
- League One: B. Mitchell is the highest-rated midfielder (2017).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oldham goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Oldham 1620 · Sheffield Wednesday 1836
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1670
Sheffield Wednesday · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1675
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oldham
20th in League Two · 12 pts from 12
- 24 OctDBarnet England League Two1616
- 20 OctLWalsall England League Two1636
- 17 OctWCheltenham England League Two1611
- 13 OctWLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1551
- 10 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1559
Sheffield Wednesday
9th in League One · 19 pts from 12
- 27 OctDCambridge United England League One1852
- 24 OctLDoncaster England League One1793
- 20 OctLNotts County England League One1833
- 17 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1790
- 10 OctDHuddersfield England League One1817
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oldham: balanced profile (how M. Mellon plays) · Sheffield Wednesday: balanced profile (how Henrik Pedersen plays)