League Two · Regular Season - 14
Oldham vs Crawley Town
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Boundary Park, Oldham
Oldham host Crawley Town on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oldham 46%, draw 28%, Crawley Town 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oldham €182K, Crawley Town €156K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (League Two): Oldham rank #24 of 24, Crawley Town #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oldham goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Oldham 1604 · Crawley Town 1544
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1691
Crawley Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1386
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oldham
19th in League Two · 11 pts from 10
- 17 OctWCheltenham England League Two1611
- 13 OctWLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1551
- 10 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1559
- 26 SepLSalford City England League Two1579
- 22 SepWFleetwood Town England EFL Trophy1561
Crawley Town
24th in League Two · 5 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSalford City England League Two1534
- 10 OctDChesterfield England League Two1566
- 6 OctWBromley England EFL Trophy1650
- 22 SepLMilton Keynes Dons England EFL Trophy1384
- 19 SepLGrimsby England League Two1526
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 11 /10 | 56.5 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 20th |
| Crawley Town | 5 /9 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% | 64% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oldham: balanced profile (how Michael Joseph Mellon plays) · Crawley Town: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Colin Kazim-Richards plays)