League Two · Regular Season - 10
Oldham 0–0 Accrington ST
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Boundary Park, Oldham
OldhamTeam 1536Accrington STTeam 1408We gave Oldham 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 8'Joseph Anderson 1538 +4Accrington ST:Joseph Anderson 1538 +4
- Lewis Temple 1348 −8*11'Oldham:Lewis Temple 1348 −8*
- 15'Aidan borland 1467 −2* for Seamus Conneely 1238 −7Accrington ST:Aidan borland 1467 −2* for Seamus Conneely 1238 −7
- 45'Conor Grant 1506 0 for Alex Henderson 1574 +2Accrington ST:Conor Grant 1506 0 for Alex Henderson 1574 +2
- will sutton 1679 −9* for Lewis Temple 1348 −8*56'Oldham:will sutton 1679 −9* for Lewis Temple 1348 −8*
- Kane drummond 1686 −9* for Oliver Hammond 1489 −8*56'Oldham:Kane drummond 1686 −9* for Oliver Hammond 1489 −8*
- Kane drummond 1686 −9*75'Oldham:Kane drummond 1686 −9*
- Mike·Fondop-Talum 1604 −12* for Tom Pett 1631 −17*76'Oldham:Mike·Fondop-Talum 1604 −12* for Tom Pett 1631 −17*
- 80'David Tutonda 1511 +3Accrington ST:David Tutonda 1511 +3
- Jamie Robson 1659 −12*83'Oldham:Jamie Robson 1659 −12*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 51% · 26% · 22%(Oldham · draw · Accrington ST)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Oldham €160K, Accrington ST €154K.
- Accrington ST's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
- Accrington ST were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oldham
21st in League Two · 7 pts from 8
- 26 SepLSalford City England League Two1579
- 22 SepWFleetwood Town England EFL Trophy1561
- 19 SepLRochdale England League Two1578
- 12 SepLChesterfield England League Two1586
- 5 SepLTranmere England League Two1561
Accrington ST
16th in League Two · 10 pts from 9
- 6 OctDSalford City England EFL Trophy1438
- 3 OctWCheltenham England League Two1436
- 26 SepDSwindon Town England League Two1424
- 22 SepDSunderland U21 England EFL Trophy1436
- 19 SepDNewport County England League Two1414
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 7 /8 | 55.2 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 20th |
| Accrington ST | 10 /9 | 47.3 | 0% | <1% | 61% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1648
Accrington ST · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1505
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume · low-block
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oldham: balanced profile (how Micky Mellon plays) · Accrington ST: direct (how John Doolan plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.