Premier League · Regular Season - 23
Okzhetpes 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
OkzhetpesTeam 1476
Kyzyl-ZharTeam 1390Match story
Okzhetpes · draw · Kyzyl-ZharBefore kick-off: 48% · 27% · 24%
Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- V. Vasiljev 61'
We gave Okzhetpes 48% to win: they did.
- S. Umarov 1524 for T. Zhangylyshbay 1378 +21*46'
Okzhetpes:S. Umarov 1524 for T. Zhangylyshbay 1378 +21* - V. Vasiljev 1674 +4* assist Z. Mukhametkhanov 1527 +15*61'
Okzhetpes:V. Vasiljev 1674 +4* assist Z. Mukhametkhanov 1527 +15* - V. Sovpel 1626 for S. Mukanov 1202 +38*62'
Okzhetpes:V. Sovpel 1626 for S. Mukanov 1202 +38* - N. Buribaev 1531 for Z. Mukhametkhanov 1527 +15*62'
Okzhetpes:N. Buribaev 1531 for Z. Mukhametkhanov 1527 +15* - 63'E. Beugre 1504 for A. Abiken 1400 −10*
Kyzyl-Zhar:E. Beugre 1504 for A. Abiken 1400 −10* - 72'S. Urosevic 1521 −20*
Kyzyl-Zhar:S. Urosevic 1521 −20* - 76'T. Zhienaliev 1165 for S. Bahoken 1466 −19*
Kyzyl-Zhar:T. Zhienaliev 1165 for S. Bahoken 1466 −19* - 76'A. Cheredinov 1300 for N. Gubarev 1310 −8*
Kyzyl-Zhar:A. Cheredinov 1300 for N. Gubarev 1310 −8* - E. Nurgaliyev – for B. Abdumannonov 1534 +15*76'
Okzhetpes:E. Nurgaliyev – for B. Abdumannonov 1534 +15* - E. Nurgaliyev –77'
Okzhetpes:E. Nurgaliyev – - S. Umarov 152480'
Okzhetpes:S. Umarov 1524 - 81'Y. Pertsukh 1407 for E. Makarenko 1354 −15*
Kyzyl-Zhar:Y. Pertsukh 1407 for E. Makarenko 1354 −15* - 86'A. Sokolenko 1343 −9*
Kyzyl-Zhar:A. Sokolenko 1343 −9* - U. 1489 for D. Borodin 1639 +7*90+2'
Okzhetpes:U. 1489 for D. Borodin 1639 +7*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 24%(Okzhetpes · draw · Kyzyl-Zhar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Okzhetpes €327K, Kyzyl-Zhar €213K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Okzhetpes
5th in Premier League · 45 pts from 27
- 18 SepWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1581
- 13 SepLIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1524
- 5 SepWOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1540
- 29 AugWKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1550
- 16 AugWAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1495
Kyzyl-Zhar
11th in Premier League · 28 pts from 27
- 18 SepDKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 12 SepLZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1459
- 5 SepLAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1437
- 29 AugLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1474
- 16 AugDFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1484
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes | 45 /27 | 49.9 | 0% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 28 /27 | 32.0 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kyzyl-Zhar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1538
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.