Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11
OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Den Dreef, Heverlee
OH Leuven host KV Mechelen on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: OH Leuven 38%, draw 29%, KV Mechelen 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: OH Leuven €977K, KV Mechelen €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes OH Leuven the favourite here: it adds 4 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Pro League): OH Leuven rank #18 of 18, KV Mechelen #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. OH Leuven goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: OH Leuven 1694 · KV Mechelen 1712
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
OH Leuven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1719
KV Mechelen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1760
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
OH Leuven
15th in Pro League · 5 pts from 8
- 11 OctDUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1672
- 19 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1644
- 12 SepDCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1647
- 6 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1698
- 3 SepLGent Belgium Pro League1687
KV Mechelen
14th in Pro League · 6 pts from 8
- 11 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1710
- 19 SepDLommel United Belgium Pro League1712
- 11 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1721
- 5 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1732
- 29 AugDRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1733
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 5 /8 | 33.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 16th |
| KV Mechelen | 6 /8 | 34.6 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
OH Leuven: direct (how Timmy Simons plays) · KV Mechelen: balanced profile (how Frederic Vanderbiest plays)