Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 13
OH Leuven vs Kortrijk
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Den Dreef, Heverlee
OH Leuven host Kortrijk on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: OH Leuven 43%, draw 28%, Kortrijk 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: OH Leuven €1.0M, Kortrijk €786K.
- OH Leuven are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. OH Leuven goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: OH Leuven 1707 · Kortrijk 1665
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
OH Leuven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1756
Kortrijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1575
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
OH Leuven
10th in Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 7 NovWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1691
- 1 NovWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1671
- 24 OctDLommel United Belgium Pro League1671
- 11 OctDUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1661
- 19 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1635
Kortrijk
18th in Pro League · 4 pts from 11
- 8 NovLGent Belgium Pro League1644
- 4 NovLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1639
- 31 OctDStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1649
- 10 OctLGenk Belgium Pro League1646
- 20 SepWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1624
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 12 /11 | 37.3 | 0% | <1% | 21% | 14th |
| Kortrijk | 4 /11 | 27.8 | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
OH Leuven: direct (how Timmy Simons plays) · Kortrijk: direct (how Daniel Beichler plays)