Super Liga · Regular Season - 16
OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
OFK Beograd host Novi Pazar on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: OFK Beograd 41%, draw 29%, Novi Pazar 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: OFK Beograd €477K, Novi Pazar €428K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Super Liga): OFK Beograd rank #4 of 17, Novi Pazar #14.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. OFK Beograd goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: OFK Beograd 1588 · Novi Pazar 1552
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
OFK Beograd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1576
Novi Pazar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1616
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
OFK Beograd
12th in Super Liga · 11 pts from 15
- 8 NovLRadnik Surdulica Serbian Super Liga1580
- 1 NovLVojvodina Serbian Super Liga1552
- 25 OctLFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1562
- 17 OctDMacva Serbian Super Liga1595
- 12 OctDMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1594
Novi Pazar
8th in Super Liga · 19 pts from 15
- 8 NovWMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1516
- 1 NovLRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1558
- 23 OctWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1534
- 18 OctLIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1548
- 11 OctLFK Partizan Serbian Super Liga1530
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Beograd | 11 /15 | 26.6 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 11th |
| Novi Pazar | 19 /15 | 33.0 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
OFK Beograd: balanced profile (how Jovan Damjanović plays) · Novi Pazar: balanced profile (how Nenad Lalatović plays)