Super League 1 · Regular Season - 8
OFI vs PAOK
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
OFI host PAOK on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: OFI 27%, draw 28%, PAOK 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: OFI €924K, PAOK €3.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. OFI goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: OFI 1811 · PAOK 1961
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
OFI · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1803
PAOK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2094
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
OFI
7th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 OctLKalamata Greece Super League1798
- 15 OctLRennes UEFA Europa League1846
- 10 OctLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1867
- 20 SepDAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1812
- 17 SepW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League1822
PAOK
3rd in Super League 1 · 15 pts from 7
- 18 OctWIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1937
- 12 OctLKalamata Greece Super League1969
- 20 SepWPanetolikos Greece Super League1981
- 13 SepWAris Thessalonikis Greece Super League1942
- 6 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1976
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 10 /7 | 36.7 | 0% | 8% | 1% | 6th |
| PAOK | 15 /7 | 47.5 | 4% | 78% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
OFI: balanced profile (how Christos Kontis plays) · PAOK: possession-based (how Alessio Lisci plays)