Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Obolon'-Brovar vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Obolon Arena, Kyiv
Obolon'-Brovar host Shakhtar Donetsk on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Obolon'-Brovar 10%, draw 17%, Shakhtar Donetsk 74%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Obolon'-Brovar €301K, Shakhtar Donetsk €5.7M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 11: 554 points.
- Draw chance 17%, below the Premier League average of 24% this round.
- Premier League: D. Riznyk is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2199).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier League): Obolon'-Brovar rank #14 of 15, Shakhtar Donetsk #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Obolon'-Brovar goals first.
- 0–211%
- 0–39%
- 1–29%
- 1–38%
- 1–18%
- 0–17%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Obolon'-Brovar 1439 · Shakhtar Donetsk 1993
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Obolon'-Brovar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1442
Shakhtar Donetsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2134
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Obolon'-Brovar
13th in Premier League · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1392
- 18 SepDChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1436
- 12 SepLLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1438
- 5 SepLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1418
- 28 AugDKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1420
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st in Premier League · 24 pts from 9
- 17 OctWKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1888
- 14 OctWAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League2058
- 9 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League2055
- 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1967
- 14 SepWChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1924
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 7 /8 | 28.8 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 14th |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 24 /9 | 72.5 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Obolon'-Brovar: direct (how Oleksandr Antonenko plays) · Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays)