Primera División · Regular Season - 26
O'Higgins vs Nublense
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
O'Higgins host Nublense on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: O'Higgins 52%, draw 26%, Nublense 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: O'Higgins €582K, Nublense €266K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. O'Higgins goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: O'Higgins 1656 · Nublense 1498
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
O'Higgins · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1283
Nublense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1557
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
O'Higgins
13th in Primera División · 27 pts from 24
- 10 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1643
- 13 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1668
- 6 SepWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1638
- 1 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1606
- 23 AugLPalestino Chile Primera Division1693
Nublense
9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 12 OctLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1508
- 12 SepLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1493
- 6 SepLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1501
- 3 SepLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1543
- 30 AugLConcepción Chile Primera Division1557
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 27 /24 | 36.1 | 0% | <1% | 14% | 13th |
| Nublense | 32 /24 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
O'Higgins: balanced profile (how Lucas Alfredo Bovaglio Ibarra plays) · Nublense: balanced profile (how Jose Ribera Juan plays)