Primera División · Regular Season - 25
Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan
Nublense host Coquimbo Unido on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nublense 22%, draw 26%, Coquimbo Unido 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nublense €266K, Coquimbo Unido €706K.
- Style contrast in possession (Primera División): Nublense rank #4 of 19, Coquimbo Unido #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nublense goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Nublense 1498 · Coquimbo Unido 1702
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nublense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1557
Coquimbo Unido · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1798
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nublense
9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 12 OctLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1508
- 12 SepLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1493
- 6 SepLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1501
- 3 SepLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1543
- 30 AugLConcepción Chile Primera Division1557
Coquimbo Unido
7th in Primera División · 32 pts from 23
- 11 OctWColo Colo Chile Primera Division1727
- 16 SepLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1706
- 12 SepLCobresal Chile Primera Division1697
- 6 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1697
- 2 SepWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1718
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 32 /24 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 11th |
| Coquimbo Unido | 32 /23 | 41.9 | 0% | 8% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nublense: balanced profile (how Jose Ribera Juan plays) · Coquimbo Unido: direct (how Hernan Caputto plays)