Primera División · Regular Season - 27
Nublense vs Colo Colo
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillan
Nublense host Colo Colo on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nublense 19%, draw 25%, Colo Colo 57%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nublense €267K, Colo Colo €730K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Primera División matchday 27: 266 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Primera División): Nublense rank #17 of 19, Colo Colo #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nublense goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Nublense 1497 · Colo Colo 1763
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nublense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1557
Colo Colo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1807
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nublense
10th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 12 OctLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1508
- 12 SepLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1493
- 6 SepLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1501
- 3 SepLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1543
- 30 AugLConcepción Chile Primera Division1557
Colo Colo
1st in Primera División · 54 pts from 24
- 11 OctLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1788
- 13 SepDConcepción Chile Primera Division1792
- 6 SepDHuachipato Chile Primera Division1788
- 30 AugWA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1781
- 23 AugWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1760
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 32 /24 | 38.4 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 10th |
| Colo Colo | 54 /24 | 65.1 | 98% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nublense: balanced profile (how Jose Ribera Juan plays) · Colo Colo: possession-based (how Fernando Ortíz plays)