Serie B · Regular Season - 36
Novorizontino vs Operario-PR
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Novorizontino host Operario-PR on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Novorizontino 62%, draw 22%, Operario-PR 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Novorizontino €542K, Operario-PR €299K.
- Serie B: Jordi is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1876).
- All 11 of Operario-PR's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Novorizontino are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Novorizontino goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Novorizontino 1778 · Operario-PR 1586
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Novorizontino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1910
Operario-PR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1637
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Novorizontino
2nd in Serie B · 61 pts from 34
- 18 OctDVila Nova Brazil Serie B1764
- 12 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1727
- 8 OctWNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1776
- 2 OctWGoias Brazil Serie B1764
- 25 SepDSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1763
Operario-PR
10th in Serie B · 48 pts from 34
- 17 OctLAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1588
- 11 OctLGoias Brazil Serie B1568
- 7 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1608
- 2 OctLJuventude Brazil Serie B1659
- 26 SepDCeara Brazil Serie B1653
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 61 /34 | 67.1 | 27% | 88% | 0% | 1st |
| Operario-PR | 48 /34 | 53.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Novorizontino: balanced profile (how Enderson Alves Moreira plays) · Operario-PR: balanced profile (how Alberto Valentim do Carmo Neto plays)