Super Liga · Regular Season - 15
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar host Mladost Lucani on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Novi Pazar 37%, draw 29%, Mladost Lucani 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Novi Pazar €384K, Mladost Lucani €262K.
- Home advantage makes Novi Pazar the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Super Liga): Novi Pazar rank #13 of 16, Mladost Lucani #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Novi Pazar goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Novi Pazar 1538 · Mladost Lucani 1539
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Novi Pazar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1629
Mladost Lucani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1519
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Novi Pazar
9th in Super Liga · 13 pts from 12
- 18 OctLIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1557
- 11 OctLFK Partizan Serbian Super Liga1537
- 19 SepDZemun Serbian Super Liga1554
- 12 SepDCukaricki Serbian Super Liga1577
- 4 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1539
Mladost Lucani
7th in Super Liga · 17 pts from 12
- 18 OctLFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1544
- 12 OctDOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1551
- 20 SepWMacva Serbian Super Liga1526
- 12 SepLRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1530
- 5 SepWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1481
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 13 /12 | 30.9 | 0% | 3% | 16% | 11th |
| Mladost Lucani | 17 /12 | 34.9 | 0% | 12% | 4% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Novi Pazar: balanced profile (how Nenad Lalatović plays) · Mladost Lucani: low-volume · direct (how Radovan Ćurčić plays)