Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · City Ground, Nottingham
Nottingham Forest host Chelsea on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nottingham Forest 35%, draw 29%, Chelsea 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nottingham Forest €21.9M, Chelsea €35.6M.
- Style contrast in possession (Premier League): Nottingham Forest rank #17 of 20, Chelsea #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nottingham Forest goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–08%
- 0–07%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–1expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Nottingham Forest 2283 · Chelsea 2360
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nottingham Forest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2341
Chelsea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2526
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nottingham Forest
16th in Premier League · 9 pts from 10
- 7 NovWManchester City Premier League2228
- 31 OctLBrentford Premier League2250
- 23 OctDIpswich Premier League2250
- 18 OctLArsenal Premier League2254
- 11 OctLCrystal Palace Premier League2287
Chelsea
5th in Premier League · 16 pts from 10
- 8 NovLSunderland Premier League2333
- 31 OctWManchester United Premier League2351
- 28 OctDLiverpool England League Cup2322
- 24 OctLTottenham Premier League2372
- 17 OctWEverton Premier League2374
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 9 /10 | 46.4 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 14th |
| Chelsea | 16 /10 | 58.2 | <1% | 20% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nottingham Forest: balanced profile (how Oliver Glasner plays) · Chelsea: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Xabi Alonso plays)